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Performance you can examine

Explore the historical results, risk analysis and testing behind Valden Systems' automated trading systems.​

Review the portfolio, compare exposure levels and inspect the supporting reports.

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Three systems | Eight- year performance replay | 1,404 recorded positions

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Historical simulations and conditional scenarios are labelled throughout. They do not guarantee future returns.

 

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31 July 2018-30 July 2026 | Fixed 3 lots per system

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This is a historical replay using 1-minute OHLC generated ticks. Results include swap, with no additional commission or slippage adjustment. Live execution can materially differ, see the execution-model comparison below.

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Historical portfolio performance

​Three systems. One shared account.

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The historical reference combines USJPY, EURUSD, and AUDJPY on one account. It shows their combined performance, including floating gains and losses recorded during the simulation.

Individual system results

Each individual result below uses its own hypothetical $100,000 starting account at 3 lots. The combined portfolio uses one shared $100,000 account.

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Individual drawdowns occur at different times and cannot simply be added together.​

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Same historical dataset

Position size changes
the outcome
 

The same trading can produce very different account returns and drawdowns depending on exposure.

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The Capital & Risk Explorer lets you change starting capital, lot sizes, scaling thresholds, withdrawals and loss rules while inspecting how those settings would have behaved in the recorded history

Testing beyond the original backtest

Different tests adress different weaknesses. We keep their purpose, results and limitations seperate.

Trade-removal simulations examine what happens when part of the historical trade sample is omitted.

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Missed-trade sensitivity
 

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Reordering historical trades show how a different sequence of wins and losses can change the path, losing streaks and drawdowns​.

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These simulations preserve the underlying trade outcomes. Their ending profit is therefore unchanged by construction: their purpose is to examine sequence risk, not prove that future trading will be profitable.

Trade-order Monte Carlo
 

The systems historically behaved differently, which supported diversification. 

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In the earlier research dataset, monthly profit-and-loss correlations were:

Historical diversification
 

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Across comparable completed positions, the supplied delayed-execution runs profuced very small changes in trading profit.

Execution-delay testing
 

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Explore the systems behind the evidence

Review the available systems, their intended use and setup requirements

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